Tories could use Ulez discontent to save marginal MPs in outer London seats | Greenhouse gas emissions

Conservative weaponisation of discontent about London’s Ulez traffic charging scheme in the recent Uxbridge byelection could be used to save a raft of under-threat Tories in the city’s outskirts, MPs have claimed.

The former leader Iain Duncan Smith, who is defending a 1,262-vote majority in the ultra marginal north-east London seat of Chingford, said that opposition to expansion of the charge translated beyond the byelection last week and could motivate certain groups, including Labour voters and users of older cars.

“It’s not party political and is clearly deeply unpopular with Labour voters. To impose a Ulez zone in an area like mine is also something that adds extra costs and charges to people, many of them are retired and have already bought their last cars,” he told the Guardian.

The calls to exploit public unhappiness with some green policies came as signs appear of further slippage by the government on its green agenda in the face of pressure from the Tory right.

It’s understood that the government is going to defer landmark environmental reforms for a year that would force manufacturers to pay for collection and recycling of products. A formal announcement is due to be made shortly but a document signalling the shift was erroneously released.

More broadly, Duncan Smith said the problem across the three byelections – two of which the Tories lost – was that many Conservatives “couldn’t be bothered to turn out to vote”. The lesson was to find issues that resonated with them, he added.

“The key point is that I don’t think this is a 1996-1997 moment, because then voters had made up their minds and knew who Tony Blair and Gordon Brown were. Labour were going to get a majority. I don’t get the sense knocking on doors now that there is any great love for Labour,” he said.

Despite Michael Gove’s insistence on Monday morning that a target of banning the sale of all new petrol and diesel cars by 2030 was “immovable”, Duncan Smith is also among other backbenchers turning their fire on that target.

Calling on Sunday for the ban to be pushed back from 2030, the Stoke Tory MP Jonathan Gullis had told LBC: “When you’re 18 or 20 points behind in the polls you’ve got nothing to lose and we should be willing to go for it.”

Duncan Smith said: “At the moment people are burdened with very high taxes, a large chunk of which is down to the fact that we’re having to dramatically subsidise many of these green technologies and the point for us is exactly how quickly can we do all of this. That [2030] seems to be a year plucked out of the air without any consideration about the pace at which it can be done.”

There was no question that the British car industry could make the 2030 target “in competitive shape”, he claimed. There was also an appeal to be made to the UK’s automative manufacturing base, which was facing a flood of cheap electric cars from China.

Another London Tory MP, Paul Scully, said that what Uxbridge had shown was that Sadiq Khan, the Labour mayor of London, was “beatable”.

In his own constituency of Sutton and Cheam, he said that many people would be reliant “on a few bus services” without their cars and there was anger that Ulez was being “pushed through”.

However, with an eye on Tory voters who were more wedded to green politics, he differed from Duncan Smith on backing the 2030 target.

“If it does seem like it’s getting too challenging in about 2028 or 29 then you could look at extending it but it does focus minds and it’s about getting industry ready. The whole point about phasing out combustion engines is that it gives people a realistic timeline to actually say these are not going to be available and we have to prepare.”

Some senior Tories warn however that Ulez might not have the same resonance at a national election as it has at the Uxbridge byelection. “Ulez is going to be a major issue at the mayoral elections,” said one London Conservative. “But I’m not so sure it will be top of voters’ minds when it comes to a general election.”