Byelection results live: Tories braced for losses as counting begins in three constituencies | Politics

The Lib Dem MP Christine Jardine said: “If we succeed in overturning the huge 19,000 majority in Somerton and Frome, in what should be a safe Conservative seat, it would mark a watershed moment for the Liberal Democrats.

“It would prove yet again that in vast swathes of the country, from Somerset to Surrey, the best way to get rid of this Conservative government is to vote for the Liberal Democrats.”

A Labour party spokesperson said: “It’s going to be some time before we get any results. But what we do know is that none of these seats have ever had a Labour MP before, so they were always going to be a challenge.

“We didn’t even win Uxbridge in 1997 and to win Selby and Ainsty would require us to overturn the biggest majority in our history.

“So while we don’t know if we’ve made it over the line, it’s clear that Keir Starmer’s leadership of a changed Labour party, back in the service of working people, has seen voters put their trust in us – many for the first time.”

A Conservative party spokesperson said: “There’s no doubt that this was always going to be a very challenging set of byelections, especially given the circumstances in which they were brought about.

“We have to wait for the results to come in, but byelections are rarely won by governing parties and they are rarely good indicators of general election performance.

“Across all of these campaigns we have heard zero enthusiasm for Sir Keir Starmer’s Labour party and their lack of answers.

“We now need to redouble our efforts earning back the trust of voters by delivering on our plan to halve inflation, grow the economy, reduce debt, cut waiting lists and stop the boats.”

The prime minister has acknowledged that holding the three seats, including Boris Johnson’s former constituency, will be a “tough battle”.

For Labour, winning the Uxbridge and South Ruislip seat vacated by Johnson and the Selby and Ainsty constituency formerly held by his ally Nigel Adams would be a major boost for Sir Keir Starmer.

In Somerton and Frome, in a contest triggered by the resignation of scandal-hit David Warburton, the Liberal Democrats hope to add to a series of eye-catching recent byelection victories.

While Johnson only held his seat with a majority of 7,210 as he led the party to a national landslide in 2019, the Tories had a cushion of around 20,000 votes in the other two constituencies, so losses would increase Tory pressure on Sunak.

The prime minister could attempt to reset his administration with a cabinet reshuffle in the wake of the contests – defence secretary Ben Wallace has already signalled he will exit the government so there is a vacancy to be filled – although No 10 has publicly insisted there are no plans for a shake-up.

Sunak would need to decide whether the benefits of freshening up his team at this stage would be outweighed by the risk of it being perceived as a panicked response to an electoral setback.

In Uxbridge and South Ruislip, Labour’s Danny Beales hopes to defeat the Tory Steve Tuckwell, although rows over the Mayor of London’s decision to extend the ultra-low emission zone may cost Labour votes.

In Selby and Ainsty, 25-year-old Keir Mather will become the new Baby of the House if he wins for Labour, with Tory Claire Holmes trying to retain the seat for her party.

Somerton and Frome has Sarah Dyke hoping to win for the Liberal Democrats, while Faye Purbrick wants to ensure it stays Conservative.

Polls have closed in byelections

We are in the last few minutes of voting in three byelections in England in a significant test of Rishi Sunak’s premiership.

They are being held in the south-western Tory stronghold of Somerton and Frome in Somerset, Boris Johnson’s old seat in the west London suburbs Uxbridge and South Ruislip and Selby and Ainsty, North Yorkshire, which was triggered by Nigel Adams’s resignation last month.